I am an Ultra-Conservative, Alpha-Male, True Authentic Leader, Type "C" Personality, who is very active in my community; whether it is donating time, clothes or money for Project Concern or going to Common Council meetings and voicing my opinions. As a blogger, I intend to provide a different viewpoint "The way I see it!" on various world, national and local issues with a few helpful tips & tidbits sprinkled in.
‘Active’ 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast (Update1)
May 25 (Bloomberg) -- The 2010 hurricane season in the
There’s a 74 percent chance that more storms than normal will hit the continental
“At present, every main indicator points to hurricane activity being well-above norm in 2010,” the report said.
The forecast joins a growing number of predictions that the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which starts June 1, will be among the most-active on record. Academic and commercial forecasters including
In an average year, 11 systems develop into named storms with winds of at least 39 mph (62 kph), with six of them reaching the 74-mph threshold for hurricanes and two growing into major storms with winds of 111 mph or more, according to the National Hurricane Center. The 1950 to 2009 average is 10 storms, six hurricanes and three major systems.
Prediction for Landfall
At least two hurricanes and three tropical storm-strength systems are expected to hit the
Last year, the number of storms was held to a 12-year low as only nine formed and none made landfall at hurricane strength in the
El Nino creates high-altitude winds over the
The prediction for above-normal storm formation this season “is expected to be even higher if La Nina develops during the second half of the 2010,” Tropical Storm Risk said. “Even now there is a high likelihood” that this year’s hurricane activity “will be in the top third of years historically.”
The current El Nino cycle is waning and the Pacific will return to normal temperatures by June, according to a U.S. Climate Prediction Center update issued yesterday. Some models suggest a La Nina, or cooling of the Pacific, may develop later this year, the center said.
NOAA does NOT make seasonal hurricane landfall predictions
NOAA does not make seasonal hurricane landfall predictions. Hurricane landfalls are largely determined by the weather patterns in place as the hurricane approaches, which are only predictable when the storm is within several days of making landfall.